Super Group warns of sports betting volatility during World Cup amid 26% Q3 EBITDA decline

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Topline numbers

Super Group’s total revenue declined by 1.5% year-on-year to €307.8m in Q3 as sports betting growth failed to fully offset revenue reductions in online casino and brand licensing.

Sports betting revenue rose 14.5% to €104.6m (34% of total group revenue), while online casino slipped by 3.8% to €196.6m, or 63.9% of total revenue. 

Brand licensing revenue came in at €5.4m, or 1.8% of the total, down 67.3% year-on-year.

Super Group reported adjusted EBITDA of €56.1m for the quarter, down 26% year-on-year. The firm declared profit after taxes of €34.9m, down 30.9%.

As of the end of the period, Super Group held €904.3m in total assets including €266m in cash and cash equivalents.

News nugget

Super Group’s biggest Q3 move was the acquisition of a majority stake in UK-based online casino supplier Jumpman Gaming on 1 September.

For the month of September, the business contributed around €7m of net revenue to Super Group, as well as a positive contribution to Q3 EBITDA figures.

Those values were not included in Super Group’s Q3 financials so that investors could see a like-for-like comparison.

Following the end of the period, Super Group revealed that it is exploring the possible acquisition of its sportsbook supplier Apricot.

The operator said it is considering an arrangement that could materially increase the dedicated development resources made available by Apricot to Betway.

That would involve an increase in levels of spending and investment in software development for the next several quarters, a portion of which may be made as a loan by Super Group to the supplier of up to €43m.

In connection with the additional spending, Apricot and Super Group have opened discussions around the possibility of Super Group obtaining full ownership of its sportsbook through an option to purchase a copy of the underlying technology in the future.

Best quote

Super Group CFO Alinda Van Wyk: “[Sports betting] results fluctuate beyond our control, so we just have to make sure that we keep on engaging the customers, and luckily our customer base is strong so it marginalises the volatility in the results.”

Best question

When asked about the rationale behind the firm’s acquisition of Jumpman Gaming, Super Group president and COO Richard Hasson said: “Jumpman runs proprietary technology – it’s built a great platform over the last many years, and while it is a UK-focused business, it’s an opportunity for us to help them expand into additional markets.

“They appeal to a different segment of the market – a much more recreational segment – to our existing customers,” Hasson concluded.

Current trading & forecast

Following the release of its Q3 results, Super Group has reiterated previously issued guidance pointing to full-year 2022 revenue between €1.15bn and €1.28bn, with operational EBITDA of €200m-€215m.

CFO Alinda Van Wyk explained on the firm’s earnings call that one reason for the width of those ranges is the volatility of sports results.

“There is some volatility around sports as you all know, especially around parlay results, and we’ve seen some of those volatilities coming through in November already, but we have a very strong customer base and we keep on engaging those customers,” she said.

“[Sports betting] results fluctuate beyond our control, so we just have to make sure that we keep on engaging the customers, and luckily our customer base is strong so it marginalises the volatility in the results.”

The business reported 3.2 million customers using its brands following the end of the period in October. That represents a significant improvement over previously recorded numbers which usually see between 2.6 million and 2.7 million customers using the brands each month.

Super Group CEO Neal Menashe said that growth was driven by improved engagement on Super Group’s platforms across both sports betting and casino. A packed October sports calendar also helped re-engage customers during the month.

The business intends to retain those high-quality customers, it said, while working to improve profit margins across its operations.

Share performance

Shares in Super Group jumped around 3% following the release of the results. 

Looking at the firm’s share price since its public listing on the New York Stock Exchange in January, however, shares are down by more than 55%.

Having floated at an $8.25 share price, shares climbed as high as $10.99 in April before descending rapidly to where they sit now, well below the $4 per share mark.

About the author

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Conor Mulheir

Conor entered the gaming industry in 2018 producing high-level live event content for audiences in London, Amsterdam and São Paulo. From 2020, he went on to report news and commission exclusive content for various gaming media brands before joining iGaming NEXT as editor in January 2022.

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